AEX Daily Analysis2026-08-17

Session: Closing

Close
1.115,87
Change
-0,17%
1W Change
0,23%
20D Change
2,32%
EMA20
1.105,97
EMA50
1.086,78
EMA200
1.024,89
RSI (14)
62,0
ATR (14)
10,02
Volatility (20D)
9,52%
Distance from 20D High
-0,74%
Advancers
Decliners
Volume
0
VIX
14,95
US10Y
4,70%
DXY
99,52

The index closed slightly lower, showing a mild pullback after recent gains, while maintaining a broadly positive short-term tone.

Market Drivers

The move reflects a cautious sentiment amid mixed global cues, with investors weighing recent momentum against elevated volatility and external uncertainties.

Trend Interpretation

Price remains above key moving averages, indicating a sustained uptrend, though momentum has cooled slightly from overbought levels.

Risk Factors

Key risks include a potential rise in volatility, a pullback toward support levels, and external pressures from global bond yields and currency movements.

Bullish

In a bullish scenario, the index could resume its upward path, building on its position above moving averages and extending gains toward new highs.

Neutral

A neutral scenario would see the index consolidating within a range, with limited directional bias as buyers and sellers balance.

Risk

In a risk scenario, the index could face a deeper correction, testing lower supports if momentum fades and selling pressure intensifies.

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