AEX Daily Analysis — 2026-08-21
Session: ClosingLatest
- Close
- 1,104.52
- Change
- 0.16%
- 1W Change
- -1.19%
- 20D Change
- 1.33%
- EMA20
- 1,105.31
- EMA50
- 1,089.32
- EMA200
- 1,026.44
- RSI (14)
- 52.2
- ATR (14)
- 9.34
- Volatility (20D)
- 8.56%
- Distance from 20D High
- -1.74%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 15.25
- US10Y
- 4.74%
- DXY
- 98.84
The index closed slightly higher, showing mild resilience after a weekly decline, with momentum turning cautiously positive.
Market Drivers
The move is driven by a modest risk-on tone, supported by a stable volatility backdrop and a slight improvement in short-term momentum.
Trend Interpretation
Price is hovering near its short-term average, above the medium- and long-term averages, indicating a constructive but not overbought trend structure.
Risk Factors
Key risks include a potential pullback if momentum fades, elevated bond yields, and a stronger dollar that could pressure equities.
Bullish
In a bullish scenario, the index could extend gains if it holds above its short-term average and builds on the recent positive momentum, targeting higher highs.
Neutral
In a neutral scenario, the index may consolidate within a range, oscillating around its short-term average as investors await fresh catalysts.
Risk
In a risk scenario, a break below the medium-term average could trigger a deeper correction, especially if volatility spikes and risk appetite deteriorates.