AEX Daily Analysis — 2026-09-10
Session: ClosingLatest
- Close
- 1,093.27
- Change
- -0.78%
- 1W Change
- -1.03%
- 20D Change
- -2.35%
- EMA20
- 1,106.20
- EMA50
- 1,096.85
- EMA200
- 1,038.41
- RSI (14)
- 40.9
- ATR (14)
- 9.67
- Volatility (20D)
- 8.07%
- Distance from 20D High
- -2.75%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 17.84
- US10Y
- 4.94%
- DXY
- 99.10
The AEX closed lower, extending a mild weekly and monthly decline, with momentum leaning bearish and price below its short-term moving averages.
Market Drivers
The move reflects a cautious risk tone, with elevated long-term yields and a firm dollar weighing on equity sentiment, while volatility remains moderate.
Trend Interpretation
The index is trading below its short-term averages but still above its long-term average, suggesting a corrective phase within a broader uptrend; momentum is weak.
Risk Factors
Key risks include a further rise in yields, a stronger dollar, and a break below the long-term moving average, which could accelerate selling pressure.
Bullish
In a bullish scenario, the index stabilizes above the long-term average and reclaims the short-term averages, signaling a resumption of the broader uptrend.
Neutral
In a neutral scenario, the index consolidates in a range, with momentum stabilizing and volatility remaining moderate, awaiting a clear catalyst.
Risk
In a risk scenario, the index breaks below the long-term average, with momentum deteriorating and volatility expanding, leading to a deeper correction.