AEX Daily Analysis — 2026-09-16
Session: ClosingLatest
- Close
- 1,096.14
- Change
- 0.03%
- 1W Change
- -0.52%
- 20D Change
- -0.57%
- EMA20
- 1,103.21
- EMA50
- 1,096.90
- EMA200
- 1,040.72
- RSI (14)
- 43.7
- ATR (14)
- 9.18
- Volatility (20D)
- 7.92%
- Distance from 20D High
- -2.30%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 17.71
- US10Y
- 5.01%
- DXY
- 100.33
The AEX is showing a slight recovery in the closing session, but remains in a mild downtrend over the past week and month. Momentum is weak, with the index trading below its short-term moving average.
Market Drivers
The move appears driven by a modest rebound in risk sentiment, though broader market breadth is lacking. External factors such as elevated US yields and a firm dollar may be capping gains.
Trend Interpretation
The index is below its short-term moving average but above its longer-term averages, indicating a mixed trend structure. Momentum is weak, with RSI in neutral-to-bearish territory.
Risk Factors
Key risks include a potential breakdown below the longer-term moving average, rising volatility, and external pressures from high US yields and a strong dollar.
Bullish
In a bullish scenario, the index could reclaim its short-term moving average and build on the recent slight recovery, supported by improving momentum and a pickup in market breadth.
Neutral
In a neutral scenario, the index may continue to trade in a range, oscillating around its longer-term moving average without a clear directional bias.
Risk
In a risk scenario, the index could break below its longer-term moving average, triggering a deeper pullback with increased volatility and negative momentum.