AEX Daily Analysis — 2026-09-24
Session: ClosingLatest
- Close
- 1,106.84
- Change
- -0.10%
- 1W Change
- 0.98%
- 20D Change
- -0.08%
- EMA20
- 1,103.17
- EMA50
- 1,097.97
- EMA200
- 1,043.28
- RSI (14)
- 53.4
- ATR (14)
- 9.50
- Volatility (20D)
- 8.67%
- Distance from 20D High
- -1.34%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 15.67
- US10Y
- 5.16%
- DXY
- 101.25
The AEX is showing a mild pullback within a broader consolidation phase, with price holding above key moving averages and momentum near neutral.
Market Drivers
The move appears driven by a slight risk-off tone, as indicated by a modestly elevated VIX and a firm dollar, while the recent weekly gain suggests underlying resilience.
Trend Interpretation
The index remains above its short- and long-term moving averages, with a positive slope in the medium-term trend, though momentum has cooled from recent highs.
Risk Factors
Key risks include a potential rise in volatility, a stronger dollar weighing on exporters, and the proximity to the recent high leaving little room for error.
Bullish
In a bullish scenario, the index could resume its upward trend, supported by a rebound in momentum and a decline in volatility, potentially challenging the recent high.
Neutral
In a neutral scenario, the index may continue to trade in a range, with price oscillating around current levels as investors await clearer catalysts.
Risk
In a risk scenario, a break below key moving averages could trigger a deeper correction, especially if volatility spikes and market breadth deteriorates.