ASX 200 Daily Analysis — 2026-09-18
Session: ClosingLatest
- Close
- 8,731.20
- Change
- -0.01%
- 1W Change
- -0.11%
- 20D Change
- -3.62%
- EMA20
- 8,879.46
- EMA50
- 8,926.94
- EMA200
- 8,864.90
- RSI (14)
- 33.2
- ATR (14)
- 76.44
- Volatility (20D)
- 9.39%
- Distance from 20D High
- -5.31%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 15.51
- US10Y
- 4.98%
- DXY
- 100.48
The ASX 200 is trading below its key moving averages with weak momentum, reflecting a cautious market tone.
Market Drivers
The index is under pressure from a combination of global risk aversion and elevated bond yields, which are weighing on equity valuations.
Trend Interpretation
The index is below its short-term and long-term moving averages, indicating a bearish trend structure with negative momentum.
Risk Factors
Key risks include rising volatility, a stronger dollar, and the potential for further declines if global yields continue to climb.
Bullish
A bullish scenario would involve a rebound above the moving averages, driven by improving risk sentiment and a pullback in yields.
Neutral
A neutral scenario would see the index stabilizing around current levels, with range-bound trading as investors await clearer signals.
Risk
A risk scenario would involve a break below recent support, accelerating losses amid rising volatility and deteriorating market breadth.