Bovespa Daily Analysis2026-08-10

Session: Closing

Close
172.179,94
Change
-0,19%
1W Change
-3,27%
20D Change
-2,03%
EMA20
175.126,94
EMA50
175.269,06
EMA200
170.657,62
RSI (14)
42,3
ATR (14)
2.416,01
Volatility (20D)
17,04%
Distance from 20D High
-4,70%
Advancers
Decliners
Volume
0
VIX
15,46
US10Y
4,70%
DXY
99,81

The index closed slightly lower, extending a weekly decline, with momentum indicators pointing to a cautious tone.

Market Drivers

The move is driven by a mix of global risk-off sentiment and domestic uncertainty, as reflected in elevated volatility and a weaker risk appetite.

Trend Interpretation

Price is trading below its short-term and medium-term moving averages, indicating a bearish bias in the near term, though it remains above the long-term average, suggesting a broader uptrend is still intact.

Risk Factors

Key risks include a further deterioration in global risk sentiment, a rise in volatility, and a potential break below key support levels.

Bullish

In a bullish scenario, the index could stabilize and reclaim its short-term moving averages, leading to a recovery toward recent highs as buying interest returns.

Neutral

In a neutral scenario, the index may consolidate within a range, with price oscillating between support and resistance as market participants await clearer directional cues.

Risk

In a risk scenario, a continued slide could push the index below its long-term average, opening the door to deeper losses and a more pronounced downtrend.

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