Nikkei 225 Daily Analysis — 2026-08-19
Session: ClosingLatest
- Close
- 65,295.76
- Change
- -3.21%
- 1W Change
- -3.30%
- 20D Change
- -1.41%
- EMA20
- 66,481.22
- EMA50
- 65,988.16
- EMA200
- 58,892.76
- RSI (14)
- 46.1
- ATR (14)
- 1,742.76
- Volatility (20D)
- 32.93%
- Distance from 20D High
- -6.20%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 15.84
- US10Y
- 4.71%
- DXY
- 99.54
The index is experiencing a notable decline, with momentum turning negative and price action weakening.
Market Drivers
The move is driven by broad risk-off sentiment, as reflected in elevated volatility and a stronger dollar.
Trend Interpretation
Price is trading below key short-term moving averages, indicating a bearish short-term trend, while the longer-term trend remains intact.
Risk Factors
Key risks include rising bond yields and persistent volatility, which could exacerbate downside pressure.
Bullish
A bullish scenario would require a stabilization above recent lows, followed by a reclaim of the short-term moving averages, signaling a potential reversal.
Neutral
A neutral scenario would see the index consolidating within a range, with price oscillating around the moving averages as momentum flattens.
Risk
In a risk scenario, continued weakness could lead to a deeper correction, with the index testing lower support levels.