Nikkei 225 Daily Analysis — 2026-08-25
Session: ClosingLatest
- Close
- 65,732.03
- Change
- 0.31%
- 1W Change
- -2.56%
- 20D Change
- 1.23%
- EMA20
- 66,274.80
- EMA50
- 65,970.78
- EMA200
- 59,167.97
- RSI (14)
- 47.7
- ATR (14)
- 1,554.49
- Volatility (20D)
- 31.77%
- Distance from 20D High
- -5.57%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 15.85
- US10Y
- 4.70%
- DXY
- 99.07
The index closed slightly higher, showing a mild recovery after a weekly decline, while maintaining a cautious tone amid moderate volatility.
Market Drivers
The move is driven by a modest rebound in risk sentiment, though underlying momentum remains subdued as the index trades below its short-term moving averages.
Trend Interpretation
Price is below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating a short-term downtrend, but above the 200-day average, suggesting a longer-term uptrend. Momentum is neutral, with RSI in the middle zone.
Risk Factors
Key risks include elevated volatility and a significant distance from recent highs, which could signal further downside if support levels fail.
Bullish
In a bullish scenario, the index could regain upward momentum, reclaiming its short-term moving averages and pushing toward recent highs, supported by improving market breadth.
Neutral
In a neutral scenario, the index may consolidate within a range, oscillating around its moving averages as investors await clearer directional cues.
Risk
In a risk scenario, a break below key support levels could accelerate selling, leading to a deeper correction toward the longer-term trend area.