Nikkei 225 Daily Analysis — 2026-09-04
Session: ClosingLatest
- Close
- 65,163.75
- Change
- 1.48%
- 1W Change
- -1.87%
- 20D Change
- -0.79%
- EMA20
- 65,842.48
- EMA50
- 65,864.43
- EMA200
- 59,727.87
- RSI (14)
- 46.0
- ATR (14)
- 1,392.76
- Volatility (20D)
- 22.29%
- Distance from 20D High
- -6.39%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 14.32
- US10Y
- 4.76%
- DXY
- 99.03
The index posted a modest gain in the latest session, though it remains below key short-term moving averages, indicating a cautious recovery attempt.
Market Drivers
The advance appears driven by a mild rebound in risk sentiment, supported by a softer dollar and contained volatility, while broader market breadth remains uneven.
Trend Interpretation
Price is trading below both the 20- and 50-period EMAs, suggesting a short-term downtrend, but it holds well above the long-term 200-period EMA, reflecting a longer-term uptrend still intact.
Risk Factors
Key risks include a potential rise in volatility, a firmer dollar, or a further climb in long-term yields, which could pressure equities.
Bullish
A sustained move back above the short-term moving averages could signal a resumption of the broader uptrend, with momentum turning positive.
Neutral
The index may continue to oscillate within a range, consolidating recent losses while awaiting clearer directional catalysts.
Risk
If the index fails to hold above the long-term trend support, a deeper correction could unfold, with downside momentum accelerating.