Shanghai Composite Daily Analysis — 2026-09-15
Session: ClosingLatest
- Close
- 3,864.28
- Change
- -0.54%
- 1W Change
- -1.94%
- 20D Change
- -3.16%
- EMA20
- 3,920.04
- EMA50
- 3,935.89
- EMA200
- 3,959.56
- RSI (14)
- 39.5
- ATR (14)
- 43.64
- Volatility (20D)
- 12.16%
- Distance from 20D High
- -3.28%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 1,141,103,640
- VIX
- 17.64
- US10Y
- 5.00%
- DXY
- 99.63
The Shanghai Composite closed lower, extending a mild weekly and monthly decline. The index is trading below its key moving averages, with momentum leaning bearish.
Market Drivers
The move reflects persistent selling pressure and a lack of positive catalysts. Broader risk sentiment appears cautious, with global yields and the dollar influencing flows.
Trend Interpretation
The index is below its short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages, indicating a bearish trend structure. Momentum is negative, with the RSI in the lower half of its range.
Risk Factors
Key risks include a sustained break below recent support, rising volatility, and external headwinds from high global yields or a strong dollar. Weak market breadth could amplify downside moves.
Bullish
A bullish scenario would involve the index reclaiming its short-term moving averages and showing improving momentum, potentially leading to a recovery towards recent highs.
Neutral
A neutral scenario would see the index stabilizing around current levels, with range-bound trading and mixed momentum, as investors await clearer signals.
Risk
A risk scenario would involve a decisive break below recent lows, with increasing volatility and momentum turning more negative, potentially leading to further declines.