Nikkei 225 Daily Analysis — 2026-08-13
Session: Closing
- Close
- 68.466,05
- Change
- 1,40%
- 1W Change
- 3,27%
- 20D Change
- 1,07%
- EMA20
- 65.985,07
- EMA50
- 65.712,53
- EMA200
- 58.547,90
- RSI (14)
- 58,6
- ATR (14)
- 1.794,66
- Volatility (20D)
- 36,69%
- Distance from 20D High
- -0,49%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 14,55
- US10Y
- 4,68%
- DXY
- 99,97
The index closed higher with a modest gain, showing resilience in a stable risk environment. Market breadth appears supportive, though volume data is unavailable.
Market Drivers
The advance is driven by broad-based buying, with no single sector dominating. A calm volatility backdrop and steady global cues support the positive tone.
Trend Interpretation
Price action remains above key moving averages, indicating a sustained uptrend. Momentum is positive but not overbought, suggesting room for further upside.
Risk Factors
Key risks include a potential pullback from recent highs and a rise in volatility. Also, a stronger dollar or higher yields could pressure equities.
Bullish
In a bullish scenario, the index continues to climb, supported by solid momentum and a favorable risk-on environment. It could approach or test recent highs.
Neutral
In a neutral scenario, the index may consolidate within a range, with buyers and sellers balanced. Volatility could remain moderate, and the trend stays intact.
Risk
In a risk scenario, a sharp increase in volatility or a break below key moving averages could trigger a correction. Defensive positioning would be favored.