Nikkei 225 Daily Analysis — 2026-08-13
Session: ClosingLatest
- Close
- 68,466.05
- Change
- 1.40%
- 1W Change
- 3.27%
- 20D Change
- 1.07%
- EMA20
- 65,985.07
- EMA50
- 65,712.53
- EMA200
- 58,547.90
- RSI (14)
- 58.6
- ATR (14)
- 1,794.66
- Volatility (20D)
- 36.69%
- Distance from 20D High
- -0.49%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 14.55
- US10Y
- 4.68%
- DXY
- 99.97
The index closed higher with a modest gain, showing resilience in a stable risk environment. Market breadth appears supportive, though volume data is unavailable.
Market Drivers
The advance is driven by broad-based buying, with no single sector dominating. A calm volatility backdrop and steady global cues support the positive tone.
Trend Interpretation
Price action remains above key moving averages, indicating a sustained uptrend. Momentum is positive but not overbought, suggesting room for further upside.
Risk Factors
Key risks include a potential pullback from recent highs and a rise in volatility. Also, a stronger dollar or higher yields could pressure equities.
Bullish
In a bullish scenario, the index continues to climb, supported by solid momentum and a favorable risk-on environment. It could approach or test recent highs.
Neutral
In a neutral scenario, the index may consolidate within a range, with buyers and sellers balanced. Volatility could remain moderate, and the trend stays intact.
Risk
In a risk scenario, a sharp increase in volatility or a break below key moving averages could trigger a correction. Defensive positioning would be favored.