Nikkei 225 Daily Analysis — 2026-08-14
Session: ClosingLatest
- Close
- 68,743.61
- Change
- 0.64%
- 1W Change
- 4.66%
- 20D Change
- -0.01%
- EMA20
- 66,234.22
- EMA50
- 65,825.46
- EMA200
- 58,632.80
- RSI (14)
- 59.4
- ATR (14)
- 1,759.30
- Volatility (20D)
- 36.28%
- Distance from 20D High
- -1.24%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 14.63
- US10Y
- 4.64%
- DXY
- 99.84
The index closed modestly higher, extending a strong weekly advance while maintaining a positive short-term tone.
Market Drivers
The move is supported by broad risk-on sentiment and a constructive technical backdrop, with the index holding above key moving averages.
Trend Interpretation
Price is above both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating a bullish short-term trend, while the 200-day average remains well below, confirming a longer-term uptrend.
Risk Factors
The index is slightly off its recent high, and volatility remains elevated, suggesting potential for sharp swings. A high volatility reading could signal instability.
Bullish
If momentum continues, the index could challenge recent highs, with the trend structure supporting further upside.
Neutral
The index may consolidate within a range, with buyers and sellers balanced, as it digests recent gains.
Risk
A pullback could occur if momentum fades, with the index potentially testing support near the 20-day average, especially if volatility spikes.