Nikkei 225 Daily Analysis — 2026-08-14
Session: Closing
- Close
- 68.743,61
- Change
- 0,64%
- 1W Change
- 4,66%
- 20D Change
- -0,01%
- EMA20
- 66.234,22
- EMA50
- 65.825,46
- EMA200
- 58.632,80
- RSI (14)
- 59,4
- ATR (14)
- 1.759,30
- Volatility (20D)
- 36,28%
- Distance from 20D High
- -1,24%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 14,63
- US10Y
- 4,64%
- DXY
- 99,84
The index closed modestly higher, extending a strong weekly advance while maintaining a positive short-term tone.
Market Drivers
The move is supported by broad risk-on sentiment and a constructive technical backdrop, with the index holding above key moving averages.
Trend Interpretation
Price is above both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating a bullish short-term trend, while the 200-day average remains well below, confirming a longer-term uptrend.
Risk Factors
The index is slightly off its recent high, and volatility remains elevated, suggesting potential for sharp swings. A high volatility reading could signal instability.
Bullish
If momentum continues, the index could challenge recent highs, with the trend structure supporting further upside.
Neutral
The index may consolidate within a range, with buyers and sellers balanced, as it digests recent gains.
Risk
A pullback could occur if momentum fades, with the index potentially testing support near the 20-day average, especially if volatility spikes.