Nikkei 225 Daily Analysis — 2026-09-16
Session: ClosingLatest
- Close
- 63,923.00
- Change
- 0.69%
- 1W Change
- -1.87%
- 20D Change
- -2.15%
- EMA20
- 65,057.54
- EMA50
- 65,498.78
- EMA200
- 60,178.15
- RSI (14)
- 42.2
- ATR (14)
- 1,322.16
- Volatility (20D)
- 18.30%
- Distance from 20D High
- -4.53%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 16.82
- US10Y
- 4.98%
- DXY
- 99.69
The Nikkei 225 is showing a mild recovery in a closing session, but remains below its short-term moving averages, indicating a cautious market tone.
Market Drivers
The index is being supported by a slight easing in global risk aversion, as reflected by a moderate VIX and a stable dollar, while rising US yields continue to weigh on sentiment.
Trend Interpretation
The index is trading below its short-term moving averages but well above its long-term average, with momentum in bearish territory, suggesting a consolidation phase within a broader uptrend.
Risk Factors
Key risks include elevated US yields, a potential pickup in volatility, and the index's distance from recent highs, which could trigger further selling pressure.
Bullish
In a bullish scenario, the index could reclaim its short-term moving averages and resume its longer-term uptrend, supported by improving risk appetite and stable global markets.
Neutral
In a neutral scenario, the index may continue to trade in a range, oscillating around current levels as investors await clearer directional catalysts.
Risk
In a risk scenario, a break below recent support could accelerate losses, especially if volatility spikes and global yields rise further.