Nikkei 225 Daily Analysis — 2026-09-17
Session: ClosingLatest
- Close
- 64,136.25
- Change
- 0.33%
- 1W Change
- -1.74%
- 20D Change
- -3.14%
- EMA20
- 64,969.80
- EMA50
- 65,445.37
- EMA200
- 60,277.86
- RSI (14)
- 43.6
- ATR (14)
- 1,286.23
- Volatility (20D)
- 17.56%
- Distance from 20D High
- -4.21%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 15.48
- US10Y
- 4.96%
- DXY
- 100.12
The Nikkei 225 is showing a mild recovery in a closing session, but remains below its short-term moving averages, indicating a cautious market tone.
Market Drivers
The index is being supported by a slight rebound in risk appetite, as reflected by a relatively low volatility reading and a stable dollar environment.
Trend Interpretation
The index is trading below both the short-term and medium-term moving averages, while staying well above the long-term average, suggesting a consolidation within a broader uptrend.
Risk Factors
Key risks include elevated long-term bond yields and a recent pullback from the twenty-day high, which could weigh on sentiment if volatility picks up.
Bullish
In a bullish scenario, the index could regain its short-term moving averages and resume its upward trajectory, supported by improving momentum and stable volatility.
Neutral
In a neutral scenario, the index may continue to trade in a range, oscillating around current levels as investors await clearer directional signals.
Risk
In a risk scenario, a break below the long-term moving average could trigger a deeper correction, especially if volatility spikes and bond yields remain high.