Shanghai Composite Daily Analysis2026-08-11

Session: Closing

Close
3.935,64
Change
-0,78%
1W Change
2,97%
20D Change
-0,79%
EMA20
3.896,36
EMA50
3.950,74
EMA200
3.954,50
RSI (14)
52,9
ATR (14)
57,37
Volatility (20D)
19,33%
Distance from 20D High
-1,16%
Advancers
Decliners
Volume
2.960.521.544
VIX
15,46
US10Y
4,70%
DXY
99,85

The index closed lower, showing a modest pullback after a strong weekly gain. Momentum remains positive but has cooled from recent highs.

Market Drivers

The decline appears driven by profit-taking and a cautious tone in global markets, with volatility at moderate levels.

Trend Interpretation

Price is hovering near key moving averages, indicating a consolidation phase. Short-term momentum is neutral, while the longer-term trend remains intact.

Risk Factors

Key risks include a potential break below the 20-day high, which could signal further downside, and elevated volatility that may persist.

Bullish

In a bullish scenario, the index could resume its uptrend, supported by positive momentum and a stable global backdrop.

Neutral

A neutral scenario would see the index range-bound, oscillating around its moving averages as it digests recent gains.

Risk

In a risk scenario, a sustained decline could lead to a deeper correction, with the index testing lower support levels.

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