Shanghai Composite Daily Analysis2026-08-12

Session: Closing

Close
3.947,86
Change
0,35%
1W Change
1,79%
20D Change
-0,20%
EMA20
3.901,13
EMA50
3.950,57
EMA200
3.955,17
RSI (14)
54,1
ATR (14)
54,92
Volatility (20D)
19,37%
Distance from 20D High
-0,50%
Advancers
Decliners
Volume
226.324.544
VIX
15,28
US10Y
4,68%
DXY
99,88

The index closed slightly higher, showing mild positive momentum after a mixed week. Overall trend remains sideways with a slight upward bias.

Market Drivers

The move is driven by moderate buying interest, though market breadth appears mixed. No clear sector leadership is evident, suggesting a cautious sentiment.

Trend Interpretation

Price is hovering near its medium-term moving averages, indicating a consolidation phase. Momentum is neutral, with no strong directional push.

Risk Factors

Key risks include elevated volatility and a potential pullback if the index fails to hold above its short-term support. External factors like global yields and currency moves could add pressure.

Bullish

In a bullish scenario, the index could break above its recent range, supported by improving momentum and a pickup in buying volume. This would signal a shift towards a more constructive trend.

Neutral

In a neutral scenario, the index may continue to oscillate within its current range, with no clear breakout. Traders might expect range-bound action until a catalyst emerges.

Risk

In a risk scenario, a failure to sustain recent gains could lead to a retest of lower supports. Increased volatility and deteriorating breadth could accelerate downside moves.

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